April 8, 2009

Fighting the last war.

Posted in Society tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , at 8:40 pm by ledefensetech

Two items stood out in the news today. First was a shooting in a Korean religious retreat in California. This will turn out to be, I think, another example of stress violence and a gust front in the coming storm of crime.  Politicians will, as usual, react badly and too late to stem this tide.  As an example I will use the current economic crisis.  Signs of the coming crisis were there for anyone to see as early as 2005, at least by then the writing was on the wall.  During the presidential campaign, nary a word was said about the economy until last fall.  By then, it was too late.

So too, will this fly under the radar until it’s too late.  While the masses are mesmerized by trillion dollar budgets, angered by bailouts and stunned by the antics of those in Washington, they ignore the signs of the coming tsunami in crime much like they did the economic collapse we’re seeing today.

The second item of interest today was this bit on the resurgence of Somali Piracy. I could go on and on about how we came to this pass, but it would seem a better use of our time to look closer and decide what this means in terms of safety.

As usual, it would seem that the Navy is asked to do a job covering too much of an area with too few assets with which to do the job. Plus it would seem that the tactics of the pirates are evolving. While not as dramatic as the tank laden Ukrainian ship seized by Somali pirates last fall, the ransoms paid to pirates has been substantial, especially in a nation as poor as Somalia. Paying those ransoms just encourages more piracy. People are more willing to roll the dice and take their chances. If they die, oh well, they live in a place where life is cheap anyway, so they might as well take the chance.

So what does all this mean? Why should you care? Well for one it seems that the world is getting more and more dangerous by day. Random shootings are increasing, once extinct criminal enterprises like piracy are on the rise and evidence mounts day by day that the world is becoming more and more unstable. Our “leaders”, as usual, are clueless about all of this and either can’t or won’t put the pieces together. I’ve said it before and I’ll say it again. You and only you can ensure your own safety. Waiting for someone else to save you is a fools errand.

At the very least you might want to consider learning some fighting techniques. At the very least you’ll develop the ability to scan your surroundings and identify places that you might not want to be. Rather than walk blithely through life oblivious to potential threats, you will learn how to stalk your stalkers. The choice of confrontation will no longer be with your attacker, but with you. You will have the initiative and that makes all the difference in the world.

Ideally, whatever system you choose it should be simple, easily mastered and, most importantly, allow you to quickly take down your opponent. Size doesn’t matter, nor does age. I’ve seen small guys take down large guys, women take down guys, old guys take down young guys. What matters is that you have the training and the confidence to overcome your attacker.

Speed is life during a fight.

Speed is life during a fight.

A system must be easy to learn.

A system must be quick to master. A system must be quick to master.

Remember, there is astorm coming. Will you be one of those who waits for help that will never arrive, or arrive too late; or will you take your destiny into your own hands and learn simple techniques to save yourself and your family?

March 19, 2009

The Perfect Storm of Crime

Posted in Society tagged , , , , at 3:31 am by ledefensetech

There’s a perfect storm brewing.  It’s not a thing of nature or weather or climate.  It’s a thing of men.  There are three seemingly independent situations that are going to combine into the greatest criminal wave to hit this country since Prohibition in the 1920’s or the bank robbers of the 1930’s.

The first theme in this symphony of crime is the current economic crisis, which contrary to mainstream economists, shows no sign of getting better.  Hundreds of thousands of jobs have evaporated in the last few months and, if anything, the number is increasing daily.  Whenever the economic situation gets bleak, rise in criminal activity is not far behind.

The second melody in the symphony is the pending release of people jailed during the height of the War on Drugs in the 1980’s.  Most of these guys were given 20-25 year sentences.  They’ll be due for release over the next few year.  In a normal economic environment they’d be hard pressed to find a job, especially with a felony hanging over them like a Sword of Damocles.  What chance do they have to find gainful employment now?  Not to mention that they’ve spent the last two decades in the real-life version of the School for Scoundrels.  No, they’ll go back to what they knew, drugs now with schooling in how to really be criminals.

The third movement in the symphony regards the forces of Light.  It’s not only the criminals who will feel the consequences of the economic meltdown we’re now suffering through.  Budgets for city and county law enforcement are being squeezed all over the nation due to declining tax receipts.  A friend of mine told me that one of the counties around here are freezing the pay, not hiring any more officers and denying overtime in order to meet budget cuts.  While this might be a good idea in the long term, it has serious detrimental effects when you look at long-term consequences.

First, by freezing pay, you increase the chance that people will choose to do something other than police work.  Especially among the older, more experienced officers and detectives.  This brain drain will take some time to manifest, but when it does the effects will be noticeable with less cases closed and irreplaceable knowledge and skill lost to the next generation of law enforcement.  Second, by not hiring new officers, when crime does pick up, the newly pared down force will need to take up the slack.  But wait, if they deny overtime, who will take up the slack?

When you combine the three factors, more people choosing crime, more criminals getting out of prison and less police on the streets, things start to look grim.  At leas they do if you don’t believe there is anything you can do about it.  The good news is that there is plenty a citizen can do to protect themselves from the coming storm.  Much like preparing for a storm, it takes a little foresight and planning, but even this can be weathered.  We’ll look at how in coming posts.